Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000975 1.114432e-03 0.001256 0.001411 0.001573 0.001738 0.001919
2025-04-20 0.000671 8.743565e-04 0.001091 0.001338 0.001607 0.001889 0.002206
2025-04-27 0.000437 6.757640e-04 0.000948 0.001271 0.001637 0.002032 0.002486
2025-05-04 0.000310 5.782795e-04 0.000904 0.001307 0.001777 0.002295 0.002899
2025-05-11 0.000178 4.460970e-04 0.000802 0.001265 0.001821 0.002449 0.003192
2025-05-18 0.000073 3.114057e-04 0.000675 0.001178 0.001805 0.002528 0.003399
2025-05-25 0.000021 2.261181e-04 0.000598 0.001143 0.001843 0.002666 0.003669
2025-06-01 NaN 1.498228e-04 0.000515 0.001090 0.001854 0.002767 0.003894
2025-06-08 NaN 1.024121e-04 0.000465 0.001075 0.001906 0.002915 0.004172
2025-06-15 NaN 8.328393e-05 0.000460 0.001121 0.002036 0.003155 0.004557
2025-06-22 NaN 5.084627e-05 0.000416 0.001103 0.002080 0.003290 0.004815
2025-06-29 NaN 3.089986e-05 0.000388 0.001108 0.002151 0.003454 0.005108
2025-07-06 NaN 1.632086e-05 0.000371 0.001140 0.002276 0.003708 0.005534
2025-07-13 NaN 7.508429e-07 0.000309 0.001093 0.002294 0.003834 0.005815
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000250 0.001045 0.002311 0.003958 0.006097
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000242 0.001087 0.002454 0.004247 0.006581
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000198 0.001053 0.002489 0.004394 0.006894
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000141 0.000978 0.002456 0.004453 0.007097
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000110 0.000948 0.002487 0.004593 0.007399
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000077 0.000901 0.002489 0.004694 0.007651
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000058 0.000888 0.002541 0.004859 0.007982
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000058 0.000931 0.002683 0.005144 0.008462
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000042 0.000916 0.002729 0.005299 0.008779